Key numbers

The numbers, period by period

Show the table
IndicatorBefore FAST (to May 2021)FAST under Fiamē 2021–25FAST under Laʻauli 2025–Note
Public debt % of GDP 49.2% (2020)23.2% (2024)19.4% (FY2025/26) SBS series; the 2024 abstract revises 2020 to 45.8%, and the IMF puts FY2025/26 at 18.1%, so the sources disagree. 12345 Lower is better.
Debt owed to China SAT$ million SAT$390.3m (2020)SAT$258.6m (2024)SAT$204.3m (June 2026) Calendar-year balances from SBS; a joint World Bank and IMF analysis put China Exim Bank at 41.5% of public debt at the end of FY2022. 1234 Lower is better.
SDG indicators achieved or on track % of selected indicators 47% (2020 VNR)—— From Samoa's 2020 voluntary review; no comparable share was found for the 2024 review and the Sustainable Development Report 2026 lists no index score for Samoa. 12 Higher is better.
Australian aid to Samoa A$ million total ODA —A$65.1m (2024-25 actual)A$51.8m (2025-26 budget estimate) DFAT figures: 2023-24 actual A$77.7m, 2024-25 actual A$65.1m, 2025-26 budget estimate A$51.8m; an estimate is not cash received, and no like-for-like total was found for the HRPP period. 1 Higher is better.
Loans as a share of incoming development finance % 8% (since 2020)—— Lowy Pacific Aid Map, 2008 to 2024, down from 47% in 2010; from 2025 World Bank and ADB money is half loans. 12 Lower is better.
Indicator sources

Public debt

  1. Statistical Abstract 2020 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Statistical Abstract 2024 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  3. Statistical Abstract 2025 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  4. Government Finance Statistics, June 2026 Quarter checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  5. IMF Executive Board Concludes 2026 Article IV Consultation with Samoa published 16 September 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗

Debt owed to China

  1. Statistical Abstract 2024 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Statistical Abstract 2025 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  3. Government Finance Statistics, June 2026 Quarter checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  4. Samoa: Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗ · archive ↗

SDG indicators achieved or on track

  1. Samoa's Second Voluntary National Review on the Implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Sustainable Development Report 2026: Samoa country profile checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗

Australian aid to Samoa

  1. Australia's development partnership with Samoa checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗ · archive ↗

Loans as a share of incoming development finance

  1. Samoa - Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Minister of Finance Hon Mulipola Anarosa Budget Address 2026/2027 published 27 May 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗

What it means for families

Lower debt is good for families: it is money the next generation will not have to repay, and the 2021 cancellation of the Vaiusu Bay port avoided about US$100m of China-financed borrowing for a project the Lowy Institute describes as surplus to need. 45 The shift back to borrowing from 2025, with half of World Bank and ADB money now loans and SAT$41.5m of new borrowing planned, means the cost of new projects will fall on future budgets, so each one should show who it serves. 6 Big projects so far have served Apia and visitors more than villages: the Faleolo terminal opened in 2018, while the Apia port upgrade was still ongoing in late 2025 and the Savaiʻi hospital is still a pipeline item. 7226 Public money also went to prop up state enterprises, with SAT$66m written off or paid for Samoa Airways and a SAT$100m fuel-crisis appropriation for EPC, costs taxpayers carry while the services they fund stay patchy. 96

Who deserves the credit

The one clear improvement, public debt, is mostly not this government's. Debt fell from 49.2% of GDP in 2020 (45.8% on the revised series) to 23.2% in 2024 under Fiamē, and the Vaiusu Bay port was cancelled in 2021, the year she took office; the further fall to 19.4% in FY2025/26 comes mainly from repayments of external loans, including Chinese loans signed under HRPP, on schedules agreed years ago, plus a fiscal surplus that the IMF reports alongside persistent under-execution of capital spending. 24251245 Australia, China, New Zealand, the World Bank and Japan supplied three quarters of development finance over 2008 to 2024, so the projects delivered in any period are largely partner-funded. 192021 This government's own decisions are the second Pathway plan, the shift to half-loan financing with SAT$41.5m of new borrowing, and the SAT$100m fuel-crisis appropriation; none has a measured result yet. 136 The Samoa Airways write-off and the Apia port works are earlier decisions. 238

The full story

The HRPP government's Strategy for the Development of Samoa 2016/17 to 2019/20 set 14 key outcomes, including average real growth of 3 to 4%, public debt no higher than 55% of GDP and 100% renewable electricity capacity by 2017. 10 Faleolo's new international terminal opened on 10 May 2018, but renewable sources supplied 43.5% of electricity in 2019, not 100%, and no indicator-by-indicator final assessment of the 14 outcomes was found. 71110

The Fiamē government launched the first Pathway for the Development of Samoa on 27 February 2022, with five key outcomes. 12 The Ministry of Finance lists a mid-term review of that plan, but no quantified end-of-plan assessment has been published. 3 The Laʻauli government launched the second Pathway, for FY2026/27 to FY2030/31, on 8 June 2026, with five key strategic outcomes and twelve key priority areas; FY2026/27 is its first year, so no target can be scored yet. 1336

On the Sustainable Development Goals, Samoa's 2020 voluntary national review judged 47% of its selected indicators achieved or on track, with universal access to primary education but declining literacy and numeracy and rising premature deaths from non-communicable diseases. 14 Samoa was among the countries presenting a voluntary national review at the 2024 High-level Political Forum. 15 The Sustainable Development Report 2026 lists no SDG Index score or rank for Samoa, so no index score exists to compare the periods. 16

Public debt was 49.2% of GDP in 2020 in the SBS 2020 abstract, a figure the 2024 abstract revises to 45.8%; it fell to 23.2% in 2024 and 19.4% in FY2025/26. 242512 The IMF reports 18.1% for FY2025/26; the two sources disagree. 17 Debt owed to China fell from SAT$390.3m in 2020 to SAT$258.6m in 2024 and SAT$204.3m in June 2026; a joint World Bank and IMF analysis put China Exim Bank at 41.5% of public debt at the end of FY2022. 241218 The Lowy Institute records that in 2021 Samoa confirmed the cancellation of a China-financed Vaiusu Bay port of about US$100m as surplus to need. 4 The IMF rated the risk of external and overall debt distress moderate in July 2026, noting that debt indicators are sensitive to more frequent and severe climate events. 5

Across 2008 to 2024, Australia, China, New Zealand, the World Bank and Japan supplied 23%, 16%, 13%, 12% and 11% of development finance spent in Samoa; loans fell from 47% of incoming development finance in 2010 to 8% since 2020. 19 Australia records total ODA to Samoa of A$77.7m in 2023-24 and A$65.1m in 2024-25, and estimates A$51.8m for 2025-26. 20 New Zealand's evaluation counts NZ$257m of development cooperation over 2018 to 2024. 21 The finance minister said in May 2026 that World Bank and ADB financing had been 100% grants and is now a 50% grant and 50% concessional loan mix, and the FY2026/27 budget plans SAT$41.5m of soft-term loans and SAT$215.9m of development spending. 6

State-owned enterprises' latest comparable results are for July to September 2025: EPC a net profit of SAT$3,831,981, Samoa Water Authority a net loss of SAT$1,163,179, Samoa Airways a profit of SAT$3,200,930 and Samoa Shipping Corporation SAT$838,295; the Samoa Ports Authority report gives SAT$13,584 in its table and SAT$2m in its text. 22 Samoa Airways reported a provisional SAT$11m profit for FY2024/25, after government wrote off a SAT$55m loan and paid SAT$11m to settle other debts. 239 The FY2026/27 budget continues SAT$5m each in community-service obligations for EPC and SWA and appropriates SAT$100m to support EPC and, to a lesser extent, SWA through the fuel crisis. 6 The ADB-funded Apia port upgrade, whose civil works contract was awarded in March 2021, was still ongoing in September 2025. 822

Sources

  1. Statistical Abstract 2025 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Government Finance Statistics, June 2026 Quarter checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  3. Pathway for the development of Samoa checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  4. An explanation for the decline of China's aid in the Pacific published 9 November 2022 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  5. 2026 Article IV Consultation for Samoa: IMF Staff Concluding Statement published 29 July 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  6. Minister of Finance Hon Mulipola Anarosa Budget Address 2026/2027 published 27 May 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  7. Bilateral Development Cooperation - Samoa Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade published 21 June 2021 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  8. 47358-002: Enhancing Safety, Security, and Sustainability of Apia Port Project published 29 March 2023 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  9. Samoa Airways Reports FY2025 Profit, Plans Another Aircraft Overhaul published 26 August 2025 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  10. Strategy for the Development of Samoa 2016/17 – 2019/20 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  11. Energy Accounts, Samoa 2023 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  12. Government Launches First 5 Year National Development Pathway published 28 February 2022 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  13. Official Launching of the Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2026/27 - FY2030/31 published 8 June 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  14. Samoa's Second Voluntary National Review on the Implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  15. VNRs | High-Level Political Forum 2024 published July 2024 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  16. Sustainable Development Report 2026: Samoa country profile checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  17. IMF Executive Board Concludes 2026 Article IV Consultation with Samoa published 16 September 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  18. Samoa: Joint Bank-Fund Debt Sustainability Analysis checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗ · archive ↗
  19. Samoa - Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  20. Australia's development partnership with Samoa checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗ · archive ↗
  21. Samoa Strategic Evaluation: Phase 2 Final Report published 8 September 2025 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  22. Public Bodies Performance Report, July – September 2025 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  23. Samoa Airways declares $11M profit published 26 August 2025 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  24. Statistical Abstract 2020 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  25. Statistical Abstract 2024 checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗

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