The scorecard

The Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2021/22 to FY2025/26 was Samoa's first five-year national plan, launched in February 2022 under Fiamē's government with five outcomes and 21 priority areas 1. Its monitoring framework, launched in December 2023, set 88 national indicators with baselines and targets 12. The plan ended in June 2026 3.

The only official assessment is the mid-term review covering the first three years to FY2023/24: 30 indicators (34%) achieved, 36 (41%) progressing and 22 (25%) not achieved or moving the wrong way 1. It recommended dropping or rewriting six indicators and reported problems with capacity, data sharing and coordination 1. PDS2 refers to a six-month pre-completion review, but the Ministry of Finance has not published it 34.

Against the latest checked figures, with the plan now over, 28 indicators met their target, 53 are off track, 6 have no result and 1 cannot be compared. Most targets met are economy-wide or institutional: growth averaged about 5% a year despite a 1.6% fall in FY2025/26 45, reserves cover 16.5 months of imports 6, external debt fell to 18.0% of GDP 7, visitor arrivals passed 200,000 in FY2024/25 on the Budget Address count 10, labour mobility recruitment reached 9,812, rural clinics were fully stocked with essential medicines and climate resilience investment reached SAT$104 million 1.

Most targets missed are the ones measured at the household and service level: diabetes prevalence rose 148% and hypertension 129% by 2023 1; full immunisation reached 74% of infants against a 100% target 1; only 54% of backlog court cases were completed 1; 13% of ministries filed annual reports on time, down from 28% 1; unplanned power cuts in FY2023/24 were worse than the baseline, and power was rationed in early 2025 14; renewable energy's share of energy use fell to 23.3% in 2023 against a 55% target 111; registered businesses fell from 7,158 to 4,987 1. Poverty fell to 15.2% in 2023, beating the 20% target, though the Bureau warns the survey method changed 9.

Who deserves the credit: the plan was written and mostly delivered under Fiamē's FAST government and the public service; Laʻauli's government took office in September 2025, in the plan's final year 310. The macroeconomic results came largely from outside: borders reopened in August 2022, tourism and remittances returned, and grants from partners lifted reserves 16. The debt fall came from the no-new-borrowing policy under the Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy and from GDP growth 1. Labour mobility growth followed demand from New Zealand, Australia and American Samoa 1. Where government action was the whole story, such as district development plans, service charters, court backlogs, annual reports and asset management, the targets were mostly missed 1.

Judged from the side of families, the plan delivered stable prices, low debt and more seasonal work, but not better health, safer power or faster justice. The gains that reached households most directly, the disability benefit, higher pensions, stocked rural clinics and district grants, were paid for within a budget that kept debt falling 110. The costs of the misses fall on patients with untreated NCDs, children not immunised, households facing outages and anyone waiting on the courts 1.

Sources (11)
  1. The Mid-term Review of the Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2021/22 - FY2025/26 published 2025 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Monitoring, Evaluation and Learning Framework for the Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2021/22 - FY2025/26 published December 2023 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  3. Pathway for the development of Samoa checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  4. Pathway for the Development of Samoa 2026/27 – 2030/31 published 8 June 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  5. Gross Domestic Product, June 2026 Quarter published October 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  6. Monetary Policy Statement for the Financial Year 2026/2027 published July 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  7. Government Finance Statistics, June 2026 Quarter published 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  8. Visitor Earnings and Remittances, June 2026 published July 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  9. Samoa Monetary Poverty Assessment 2023 published October 2025 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  10. Budget Address 2026/2027 published 26 May 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  11. Monitoring, Evaluation & Learning Framework and Reference Sheet for the Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2026/27 – FY2030/31 published 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗

Improved Social Development

Alleviating Hardship

Improved Public Health

Quality Education

People Empowerment

Skilled Workforce

Diversified and Sustainable Economy

Community Development

Agriculture, Fisheries and Aquaculture Productivity

Tourism Revitalisation

Business Innovation and Growth

Increased Labour Mobility

Macroeconomic Stability

Security and Trusted Governance

Empowered Legislation

Improved Accountability

Dynamic Global Relations and Partnerships

Secured Environment and Climate Change

Build Climate Resilience

Effective Environmental Protection and Management Frameworks

Enhanced Conservation and Sustainable Use of Natural Resources

Sustainable Energy Development Enhanced

Structured Public Works and Infrastructure

Responsive Public Utility Services

Innovative Information, Communication and Technology Use

Consolidated Infrastructure Management

What comes next

Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2026/27 to FY2030/31 (PDS2) · July 2026 to June 2031

PDS2 was launched by Prime Minister Laʻaulialemalietoa on 8 June 2026 with the vision of a "highly resilient, inclusive, safe and prosperous Samoa, grounded in the Fa'a-Samoa and faith in God" 12. It has five outcomes: inclusive social development; sustainable economy; trusted governance, rule of law and security; safeguarded climate-resilient environment; and structured public works and sustainable infrastructure 2. Its 12 priority areas are public health and wellness; education and culture; macroeconomic resilience; communities' economic empowerment; private sector diversification; social justice; workforce development; strategic diplomacy and security; environmental protection, restoration and conservation; renewable energy transition; public infrastructure asset management; and digital transformation and innovation 2.

Its monitoring framework sets FY2024/25 baselines and targets for FY2030/31 3. Headline targets: poverty from 15.2% to 10%; real GDP growth of at least 3 to 4% a year; inflation at 3%; external debt below 50% of GDP and reserves above four months of imports; renewable electricity from 29.3% to 50%; private-sector formal employment up 3.5% a year from 19,841; tourism earnings from SAT$652.3 million to SAT$800 million; life expectancy up at least two years from 75.5; government spending on social protection from 7% to 10%; villages with disaster preparedness from 145 to all 362; Year 8 pupils at the expected level in maths from 7.6% to 20%; ECE participation from 29% to at least 80% 3.

The plan says it draws on lessons from the PDS1 mid-term and pre-completion reviews, which found gaps in baseline data, indicator coherence, reporting timeliness and evaluation capacity 23. The Ministry of Finance is to run a national dashboard, with a mid-term review and a full-term review approved by the Cabinet Development Committee 3. The FY2026/27 budget is its first, with a SAT$20 million Child Wellbeing Benefit and SAT$102 million for the District Development Program 4.

Sources (4)
  1. Pathway for the Development of Samoa (PDS) FY2026/27 – FY2030/31 Official Launch published 18 June 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  2. Pathway for the Development of Samoa 2026/27 – 2030/31 published 8 June 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  3. Monitoring, Evaluation & Learning Framework and Reference Sheet for the Pathway for the Development of Samoa FY2026/27 – FY2030/31 published 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗
  4. Budget Address 2026/2027 published 26 May 2026 · checked 20 October 2026 · source ↗

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